People who are right most of the time are people who change their minds often.

June 8, 2026 · 6 min read

VERIFIED

“People who were right a lot of the time were people who often changed their minds.”

  • Commonly attributed to: Jeff Bezos
  • Actual source: Jeff Bezos, remarks during a visit to 37signals’ office, as reported secondhand by Jason Fried in "Some advice from Jeff Bezos," Signal v. Noise blog, October 19, 2012 (not 2008 — the visit was ‘a number of years’ before the post). Fried’s wording: "He said people who were right a lot of the time were people who often changed their minds."
  • Earliest verified appearance: October 19, 2012 — Jason Fried, "Some advice from Jeff Bezos," Signal v. Noise: "He said people who were right a lot of the time were people who often changed their minds." The crisp version circulating today ("People who are right most of the time…") is a further paraphrase of Fried’s own paraphrase. — Signal v. Noise (Jason Fried)
  • Confidence: Medium · Last verified: July 2026

The verdict: Bezos did make this point at 37signals’ office, but the only record is Jason Fried’s October 2012 secondhand blog account — the polished one-liner quoted everywhere is a paraphrase of Fried’s paraphrase, not Bezos verbatim.

Every claim above links to a primary source I checked myself. How I verify quotes →

The Evolution of Excellence: Jeff Bezos on the Power of Changing Your Mind

Jeff Bezos, the founder of Amazon and one of the world’s most influential entrepreneurs, has built his philosophy around intellectual flexibility and continuous adaptation. This particular quote encapsulates a principle that has guided his decision-making throughout his career. It spans from Amazon’s founding in 1994 to his eventual step down as CEO in 2021. The statement reflects a counterintuitive truth about success. It runs contrary to popular culture’s celebration of unwavering conviction and stubborn determination. Bezos didn’t arrive at this philosophy through abstract theorizing alone. Rather, it emerged from decades of navigating the unpredictable landscape of business, technology, and innovation. In these fields, certainty is often an illusion and adaptability is a necessity.

The Origins of This Powerful Idea

Bezos likely developed this quote from his observations during Amazon’s explosive growth. He also studied successful people across various fields. Throughout the 1990s and 2000s, Amazon was expanding beyond books into every conceivable product category. Bezos and his team constantly had to reevaluate their strategies based on market feedback, technological advancement, and competitive pressures. Many Amazon employees and shareholders questioned decisions to enter new markets or adopt new technologies that seemed risky or premature. Yet Bezos’s willingness to change course became a hallmark of Amazon’s success. He abandoned previously held strategies and pivoted when evidence suggested a different approach was superior. Bezos likely shared this quote in interviews or shareholder letters where he reflected on what separated the winners from the losers in his experience.

Bezos’s background provides essential context for understanding why this philosophy became so central to his thinking. Born in 1964 in Albuquerque, New Mexico, Bezos’s adoptive parents, Mike and Jackie Bezos, raised him in a household that valued innovation and problem-solving. His father was an engineer. His mother was a former accountant. This created an environment where analytical thinking and precision were paramount. As a child, Bezos was deeply interested in science and technology. He demonstrated the kind of curious, questioning mind that would later characterize his business approach. He attended Princeton University and studied computer science and electrical engineering, graduating in 1986. Initially, Bezos planned to become a physicist and was genuinely interested in theoretical science. He later recognized the commercial potential of the emerging internet in the early 1990s.

People who are right most of the time are people who change their minds often

Before founding Amazon, Bezos worked on Wall Street as a financial analyst. He later became a senior vice president at D.E. Shaw, a prominent hedge fund. At D.E. Shaw, David Shaw, a brilliant computer scientist and entrepreneur, demonstrated to Bezos the power of combining technical expertise with business acumen. Bezos first developed his own investment thesis about the internet at this firm. He began researching business opportunities online.

In 1994, when he was around thirty years old and earning a substantial salary with year-end bonuses, Bezos made a surprising decision. He left his lucrative position to start an online bookstore from his garage. Many of his colleagues were shocked. This decision itself demonstrated the principle embedded in his later quote. He was willing to change his mind about what success looked like. He moved away from the traditional path of a wealthy Wall Street professional to pursue a speculative venture that most people believed would fail.

A lesser-known aspect of Bezos’s character directly relates to this quote: his well-documented commitment to intellectual humility. He also practiced surrounding himself with people who would challenge him. Throughout Amazon’s history, Bezos famously encouraged what he called “vigorous debate” followed by “unified commitment.” This meant that once a decision was made, everyone committed to it. Before that decision was made, dissenting views were not only tolerated but actively sought. Bezos also established the practice of reading shareholder letters from other successful companies. He has cited Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger as intellectual influences. Both are famous for changing their investment philosophies as they gathered new information. Bezos kept a door in Amazon’s offices labeled with the sign “It’s always Day 1.” This reminded himself and his employees that complacency was the enemy. The business should always be willing to fundamentally rethink its approach.

Why Changing Your Mind Matters Most

Amazon’s most consequential pivots demonstrate this philosophy in practice. The company began as an online bookstore but quickly expanded to music, videos, and eventually all consumer goods. More dramatically, Amazon Web Services (AWS) was launched in 2006 after Bezos recognized something important. Amazon’s internal infrastructure could be a valuable product itself. This decision required changing the company’s identity from a retail business to a technology platform company. Many investors initially questioned this shift. Similarly, Amazon’s investment in grocery delivery, cloud computing, artificial intelligence, and space exploration through Blue Origin all required willingness to abandon previous conceptions of what the company should be. Bezos was willing to enter entirely new domains. Some of these bets have failed, like the Fire Phone and the Amazon Destinations travel service. Bezos has viewed these failures as necessary learning experiences rather than evidence that the strategy was flawed.

The quote has resonated particularly strongly in the startup and business communities. It has become something of a rallying cry against perfectionism and rigid planning. In an era where business environments change rapidly due to technological disruption, shifting consumer preferences, and global market dynamics, this principle proves invaluable.